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    GEIW | Global Engineering Insights Webinar Population-Calibrated Seismic Safety: Recalibrating from hazard-based compliance to population-level safety

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    AI Summary

    In Nepal, over 700,000 buildings were damaged in a single earthquake. In Venezuela, 58,000 buildings were affected in June 2026. The scale of loss in developing countries is not shrinking. Yet engineers have long been responsible for designing buildings that meet seismic codes, while most buildings in these regions are never touched by formal engineering systems at all.

    It is time to rethink what seismic safety actually means at scale. Dr. Bothara shares a framework built from real-world observation across these contexts. By analyzing the coverage–design prescription trade-off, he presents Population-Calibrated Seismic Safety as a practical decision-making lens.

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    Description

    What is Population-Calibrated Seismic Safety?

    A framework that shifts the measure of seismic safety from code compliance to population-level outcomes, how effectively safety reaches the buildings and people most at risk.

     

    Why does this matter now?

    From Turkey to Nepal, most recently Venezuela, earthquakes in developing countries have exposed the same pattern. Engineering knowledge advanced. Losses did not fall proportionally. The problem is not the design. It is whether that design reaches the building that actually gets constructed.

     

    What if the way we have been improving seismic safety is part of the problem?

    The more sophisticated the prescription, the narrower its reach. This is the trade-off that most seismic frameworks do not address. This is the starting point of this session.

     

    Key Points

    Why does more design prescription not always mean safer communities?

    How does the coverage–design prescription trade-off determine whether seismic safety reaches the wider building stock?

    What practical framework can engineers use to evaluate whether a seismic safety strategy is affordable, buildable, and scalable in real construction systems?

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    Technical Brief

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    Speaker

    Jitendra Bothara Director At Resipro Intl Engineering Limited
    With over 30 years of field experience across more than twenty countries, Dr. Bothara has advised governments, the World Bank, UNDP, and the Asian Development Bank on seismic safety, disaster risk reduction, and post-earthquake reconstruction. He is a Fellow of Engineering New Zealand and a Chartered Professional Engineer, with a career focused on translating technical knowledge into safety systems that work at scale in real-world construction conditions. 
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